This Trend Is Not Your Friend

Anyone living in the northern hemisphere in the balmy days of late July doesn’t have to be reminded that water evaporates and wet pool towels dry out faster in the scorching midday sun than on cooler, cloudy days or nights. Traditional wisdom would infer the same holds true for oceans. That’s important, because it would mean that air above oceans on hot days would be more humid, causing more cloud formation, and the white puffy clouds would help keep the temperature from rising further just like the shiny sunscreen in your car’s windshield. Unfortunately, one recent analysis suggests the earth’s climate may not be that simple:

Dr Clement described the findings as “almost shocking”. They noticed that, in the past 50 years, there had been a “positive feedback” cycle in the low-cloud cover, so when the surface of the ocean was warmer, there had been less cloud cover.

When the researchers looked for a climate model that might explain the unexpected result, the best fitting one they found happens to make some the most aggressive global warming predictions. This is just one study on a single region of the Pacific — albeit a significant one for US northwest coast — and the model that fits the data best is but one theoretical explanation. More work will be done. It is however an excellent illustration of a trend: again and again over the last two decades empirical observations of land-sea temperature changes and reduction in ice cover outrace consensus models, causing climate scientist to fall back on or develop even more agressive models to explain the streaming data.

That’s an ominous trend and it’s not your friend.

It’s against that reality based backdrop that clowns like George Will or James Inhofe continue to shamelessly pump out debunked, discredited, and deformed misinformation for public consumption. And since they collect fat paychecks and fantastic benefits forever beyond the reach of most hard working Americans for doing so, it’s hard to see why they would slaughter that golden goose as long as she’s still dropping expensive eggs in their luxuriously feathered nests.


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