In a reflection of both the news-of-the-moment obsession of TV anchors and the sad-eyed reality that 9.7 percent unemployment has become the new normal, Barack Obama skated through Sunday's talk-show pentathlon without being challenged about the moribund economy on four of the five networks that interviewed him. Only CNN's John King - in a...
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Filed under: House, Polls, Poll WatchForty-six percent of registered voters say they would support the Democratic candidate in their congressional district if the elections were held today while 44 percent side with the Republicans, with 10 percent undecided, according to a Gallup poll conducted Oct. 1-4. That compares to a 50 percent to 44...
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When six-term Democratic incumbent Brian Baird (from Southern Washington's 3rd district) announced on Wednesday that he was retiring from Congress, he became the third Democrat in as many weeks to announce that they were stepping away from Congress at the close of this term. He followed Kansas' Dennis Moore and Tennessee's John Tanner into...
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Over the summer, it was pretty hard to miss the less-than-stellar polling numbers for Democrats in gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey. And while those numbers have moderated somewhat (particularly in the Garden State), it has also been pretty hard to miss right wing crowing that the races amounted to a "bellwether" of...
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You might not have heard this, but the assembled punditocracy is convinced that 2010 will be a Democratic killing field, with the resurgent Republican Party claiming 10...20...50 seats. One of the aggravating factors, according to the architects of conventional wisdom, has been Barack Obama's "dive in the polls". This is a statement...
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The 2009/2010 electoral forecast for Democrats, according to the horse race pundit class, just keeps getting gloomier and gloomier. According to Larry Sabato, the Democrats may well lose the House, and even if Obama's approval settles into the mid-60s, and Dems have a ten-point lead in the generic ballot, they still will lose fifteen...
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Anyone with children who have come of age in the last few decades knows well of the glum-yet-lovable donkey Eeyore. In the myriad of Winnie The Pooh books and films, Eeyore is the one with a perpetual cloud over his head, always willing to predict pending disaster for Pooh, Tigger, Piglet, and the gang....
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Filed under: The CramTen months out, with our major political parties dealing with low approval ratings and the country in distress, this year's midterm elections are shaping up to be as impassioned as 2008's general election. Both parties are hoping to turn their respective messages into outcries that will reach the masses (aka those...
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Election prognosticator Charlie Cook (who I like and respect) has been quick to trash Democratic chances this November. Just a few short weeks ago, he said: [It's} very hard to come up with a scenario where Democrats don't lose the House. It was actually pretty easy to come up with...
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In 1994, Stanley Greenberg was one of the insiders in the Clinton administration. A veteran of the victorious 1992 campaign, Greenberg was the numbers guy for a President that went from the summit of a landslide presidential win to the valley of a humiliating trouncing for his party during the next midterm elections. ...
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