E.J. Dionne Jr. at The Washington Post writes—The real GOP divide:
Maybe our definition of the Republican presidential contest is a little off.
It’s often cast, accurately enough, as a choice between “outsiders” and “insiders.” But another party division may be more profound — between Republicans who still view the country’s future hopefully and those deeply gloomy about its prospects.
The pessimism within significant sectors of the GOP is more than the unhappiness partisans typically feel when the other side is in power. It’s rooted in a belief that things have fundamentally changed in America, and there is an ominous possibility they just can’t be put right again.
This is one of the big contrasts between the two parties: Democrats are more bullish on the future.
Trevor Timm at The Guardian writes—US special forces in Syria are Obama’s latest broken foreign policy promise:
Continue reading “Abbreviated pundit round-up: GOP optimists vs. pessimists; can U.S. forces in Syria matter?”
A little I-can’t-help-it-that-Halloween-was-yesterday tidbit from the folks at Compound Interest.
Click for an embiggened version.
Ruth Marcus is one of the few people not worried about a particular Republican candidate this week. She’s worried about them all.
One of the 10 Republicans who debated Wednesday night is going to end up as the party’s nominee. None of them looked like presidential material.
That theme was sounded early on, when Ohio Gov. John Kasich swatted away the first question — what is your biggest weakness? — by addressing the larger weakness of the field: “My great concern is that we are on the verge, perhaps, of picking someone who cannot do this job.”
Indeed. The two manifestly unqualified front-runners, Donald Trump and Ben Carson, were remarkably muted. Trump simply repeated his, yes, comic-book version of a presidential campaign — huge wall, huge tax cut, huge Trump smarts — except when
Continue reading “Abbreviated Pundit Round-up”
From Steve Koczela
Steve Koczela suggests Donald Trump’s poll numbers might be infliated:
DONALD TRUMP’S poll numbers are slipping in Iowa, and a new national poll is the first in a while to show him trailing. But a closer look at the polling suggests that the Trump wave may have been overstated from the beginning. His sizeable lead has been based largely on the influence of Internet polls. Trump’s summer surge looks far less impressive in telephone polls, and polls of likely voters show his lead was always smaller and is now gone entirely.
Looking across all pollsters and modes of pollsters, Donald Trump leads the field by 10 points, according to the Huffington Post, which averages poll results. Using only online polls, his lead is even bigger. But narrow the field to just telephone polls, and Trump’s lead over Ben Carson drops to 3 points. Drill down further to
Continue reading “Abbreviated Pundit Round-up: Third GOP debate in the books”