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Posts tagged "AR-Sen"

AR-Sen: Blanche Lincoln is now the greatest progressive champion. EVER

Goal ThermometerOh, the lies!

Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln is shifting her campaign message dramatically as she heads into a Democratic primary runoff against Lt. Gov. Bill Halter, depicting herself as a firm supporter of President Barack Obama’s agenda as she seeks to avoid defeat at the...

A Different Result

"The real gamble in this election is playing the same Washington game with the same Washington players and expecting a different result."

--Barack Obama, 12/27/2007, Des Moines, Iowa

In politics, twenty-nine months is an eternity. But it's still amazing what an eternity can do. At the beginning of that span, Barack...

Polling and Political Wrap, 5/22/10

Welcome to the weekend, political junkies. I know you all have been waiting with anticipation for a preview of the Idaho primaries coming up this week. Alas, it is not to be.

What we do have, however, is Rasmussen going batshit crazy. I'd love to lay down some political wagers using Rasmussen as the...

Orange to Blue: Don’t Forget the House

This has been a damn fine week for progressive Democrats. You've heard it all before, but it bears recapping if only because it's nice to hear again: Arkansas is headed to a run-off after a much closer vote than expected. Jack Conway is the nominee in Kentucky. Joe Sestak is the nominee in Pennsylvania. Sue...

AR-Sen: Local election observers say race leans Halter

Goal ThermometerNice:

Halter went from down thirteen points in the first primary poll on March 25 to within two points on election night. Lincoln’s support has remained in the low 40’s the entire time while Halter steadily gobbled up the undecided voters.

Halter now has...

Turnout: Intensity gap is present, but possibly exaggerated

By this point in the election cycle, we have heard the following meme recycled in the press so often we could recite by rote:

"The Republican Party is energized this year! They'd crawl on their belies over busted glass to vote! The Democrats, on the other hand, are depressed. And that is why the...

WSR/AR-Sen: Bill Halter helps save derivative reform, for now

There's more detail from TPM on Chris Dodd's decision to keep Lincoln's derivatives reforms intact.

A far-reaching proposal to regulate derivative trading will not be scaled back in Wall Street reform legislation, at least for now, multiple Senate aides confirm. The development comes as welcome news to an unusual mix of progressives,...

Wall Street Reform: So about the Lincoln derivatives rewrite….

The plan yesterday:

Three minutes before the noon deadline for amendments, Dodd filed a proposal addressing language in the bill that would force the nation's largest banks to stop trading nearly all kinds of derivatives -- a move that would dramatically reshape several critical markets and deprive the firms of a major...

Race recap

Okay, it's been a hectic night and I'm beat, so this is my last post. To recap:

Kentucky:

99.5 of precincts reporting

Conway (D) 44.1
Mongiardo (D) 43.0

Paul (R) 58.5
Grayson (R) 35.4

I predicted Conway 46, Mongiardo 44, and Paul...

Primary Day Post-Mortem: Tying Up The Loose Ends

Time to put a shiny bow on a night that, one has to believe, has buoyed the spirits of Democrats a great deal.

The night is not quite over, with results now rolling in from Oregon, while we also continue to await the final trickle of precincts from some races that Kossacks have had...

AR-Sen results thread #4

Halter pulled ahead briefly, but is back to trailing narrowly.

68.5 reporting

Lincoln 43.6
Halter 42.8
Morrison 13.7

Lincoln will likely get the narrow victory, but it doesn't matter either way because this thing is going to a runoff, and the results were MUCH tighter than...

Time to close the deal

Goal ThermometerLet's give Jack Conway an early boost in his general election battle against crazy Rand Paul. Here's the polling aggregate, filtering out Rasmussen:

It's essentially a tied race. We can win this one.

Meanwhile, we now have a big runoff primary in Arkansas, and...

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