Below are the TPM polling composites. The four-year-ago comparison is from the Real Clear Politics polling composite on Oct. 1, 2008.
The national polling is as erratic as always. The numbers have tightened, but most of that is from a batch of new pollsters adding to the mix. Fact is, Obama still has a clear and comfortable edge.
Meanwhile, that edge is solid in most of the States That Matter. Of the nine most competitive states left, Obama is above 50 in the two most important—Ohio and Florida, as well as Wisconsin. He is at 48.9 percent or higher in all but North Carolina, the sole state in which he still trails. Meanwhile, Romney hits 46 percent in just two. He can’t even hit 44 percent in must-win Ohio.