Supreme Court allows Texas to use controversial voter-ID law

Monkey Cage: Why late shifts in the polls probably won’t help Democrats in Senate races

All of the major Senate forecasting models, including ours at Election Lab, now rely heavily on averages of public polls.  This raises the question of whether those averages will be correct on Election Day, and whether any misses could affect which party manages to retain control of the Senate.  In particular, there is the question of whether polling misses might mean that the Democrats end up with a slim Senate majority after all.

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The Fix: How Democrats are winning the ad wars — in 2 charts

Over the final 18 days of the 2014 campaign, Republicans are set to outspend Democrats on ads in seven of the top 11 Senate races in the country.

In only four of those races, though, will the GOP actually put more ads on the air.

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The Fix: How to understand the Latino vote, in 5 charts

Latino voters aren’t likely to be a decisive of a factor in the midterm elections, as the most contested Senate and House races are in states that have growing but still very small Latino populations. Which explains, at least in part, why President Obama reversed course on taking executive action on immigration reform before Nov. 4. But Hispanics are still among the most coveted demographic groups, and over the next two years Democrats and Republicans will be vying for the upper-hand, which over the last several election cycles has belonged to Democrats.

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Meet Snoop Dogg’s favorite 2014 candidate

Snoop Dogg wants to replace Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper (D). Fo’ shizzle.

The rapper prefers Mike Dunafon, a long-shot independent candidate challenging the Democrat. Snoop may campaign for Dunafon. And he just dropped a remix of a song Dunafon and Wyclef Jean released last month.

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The Fix: America’s governors are an endangered species

A few weeks ago, it was looking like Nov. 4 might be a bloodbath for United States governors. While no more than six governors had lost in any one election since 1984, 11 incumbent governors graced our Friday Line — none of whom was polling a statistically significant lead.

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The Fix: The only Election Day countdown clock you will ever need

Election Day is approaching. Which we assume you knew.

But it is possible — not necessarily probable, but possible — that you don’t know precisely how far away Election Day is away in terms of seconds or, more importantly, what that means for key metrics like how many more TV ads can I run.

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The Fix: Why Alison Lundergan Grimes was probably doomed anyway

Alison Lundergan Grimes has had a terrible, horrible, no good, very bad week in the Kentucky Senate race: The week was dominated by her refusal to say whether she voted for Barack Obama for president, she trailed by four points in a new Fox News poll, and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has now pulled its ads from the race.

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The Fix: The good news for Mark Begich, Mary Landrieu and Mark Pryor: People like them have survived before

The main reason that the Democratic Party is likely to lose control of the Senate this year is that its incumbents are playing defense in hostile territory. Sens. Mark Pryor (D-Ark.), Mark Begich (D-Alaska) Kay Hagan (D-N.C.) and Mary Landrieu (D-La.) all represent states that went for Mitt Romney in 2012 — and it wasn’t close in three of those states. And with the prospect of a possible GOP electoral wave, it seems even more difficult to imagine how they might end up winning reelection.

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The Fix: Democrats are winning on social issues — politically, at least

Across the 50 states, two separate and very divergent social movements are progressing apace.

1) The courts and Democratic legislatures are legalizing gay marriage.

2) Republicans and social conservatives are increasing abortion restrictions.

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Majority backs Supreme Court action that allows gay marriages to go forward

A majority of Americans think the Supreme Court did the right thing when declining to review lower court decisions that struck down state bans prohibiting same-sex marriage, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News Poll.

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Bill Clinton waxes nostalgic and cracks wise in New Hampshire

MANCHESTER, NH — Former president Bill Clinton joked Thursday that campaigning “and taking orders,” in New Hampshire for four women Democrats is “like being at home.”

Clinton railed against Republican economic policies, exhorted Democrats to vote, mused about raising the minimum wage and fighting Ebola and told sweet stories about his new grandchild during a long extemporaneous address to New Hampshire Democrats.

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The Fix: Democrats need to win 65 percent of ‘moderates’ to hold Senate

Self-identified moderates are the key to Democrats’ narrowing chances of holding onto their Senate majority in 20 days time, according to a data analysis conducted by Third Way, a centrist think tank based in Washington.

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The Fix: Democrats need to win 65 percent of ‘moderates’ to hold Senate

Self-identified moderates are the key to Democrats’ narrowing chances of holding onto their Senate majority in 20 days time, according to a data analysis conducted by Third Way, a centrist think tank based in Washington.

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How Democratic candidates are getting tangled in Obama’s web (VIDEO)

It’s no secret that President Obama, with his 40 percent approval rating, is dragging down Democrats in the midterm campaign. How, specifically, Democrats get tripped up? Let’s count the ways:

1. The agenda question

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GovBeat: There’s one state where union voters are actually backing the Republican over the Democrat

Republican Allan Fung, a Rhode Island gubernatorial candidate, leads his Democratic opponent in union support, according to a Wednesday WPRI 12/Providence Journal poll.

The poll found Fung had 42 percent support among union voters compared with 30 percent support for Gina Raimondo (D). Third party candidate Robert Healey has 12 percent support among union voters.

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Arkansas’ photo ID requirement for voting is struck down by state’s highest court

ARKANSAS

Photo ID law for voting struck down

Arkansas’ highest court on Wednesday struck down a state law that requires voters to show photo identification before casting a ballot, ruling the requirement unconstitutional just days before early voting begins for the Nov. 4 election.

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Charlie Crist, Rick Scott and a fan in one of the most bizarre debate moments ever (VIDEO)

“Ladies and gentleman, we have an extremely peculiar situation right now,” said moderator Eliott Rodriguez.

That’s how Wednesday’s night’s debate between Florida Gov. Rick Scott (R) and former governor Charlie Crist (D) kicked off. In one of the most bizarre starts to a debate, well, ever, Scott initially refused to come out because Crist asked to have a small fan placed under his podium in what to Scott claimed was a violation of the rules, the moderator said. Democrats quickly posted the clip of the strange opening online:

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The Fix: How attractive is Barack Obama? That depends on your party affiliation.

Beauty is in the eye of the beholder — particularly when that beholder is into politics.

Partisanship can be so powerful that it influences how attractive people find politicians, according to a study published Wednesday in the journal the Leadership Quarterly.

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The Fix: Just 22 percent say they’re ‘better off’ under Obama

A couple weeks back, President Obama channeled Ronald Reagan and asked the American people to consider whether they were better off today than when he took over as president.

The answer, at the time, appeared to be no. And now, it’s looking like a definite no.

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