Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: How demographics can account for disparities in Obama-Romney polls
Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: How demographics can account for disparities in Obama-Romney polls
Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: FEC says Vern Buchanan ‘more likely than not’ violated the law
Polling and Political Wrap, 10/13/10
With The Hill, CNN, and the House of Ras all making considerable contributions, today's edition of the Wrap is more data-heavy than the average. The final poll count sits at 49 polls including a faintly absurd triad of polls in Delaware's Senate race (hint to America's media outlets--it ain't close, and it ain't gonna be...
Gallup’s doomsday scenario contradicts recent history
Gallup looks into their crystal ball, and they see nothing but pain for Democrats:
Our latest measure for the week of Sept. 20-26 shows Republicans with a 20-percentage-point lead over Democrats in terms of the percentage of voters who are “very” enthusiastic about voting. Additionally, preliminary modeling of the likely electorate using...
Polling and political wrap-up, 5/31/10-6/1/10
And with that, five months in the wonderful year that has been 2010 are done. Time may not be flying, but it sure is hauling ass...
Given the paucity of news over the holiday weekend, this is a pretty spartan edition of the Wrap, as you might expect.
However, to kick it off,...
Orange to Blue: Don’t Forget the House
This has been a damn fine week for progressive Democrats. You've heard it all before, but it bears recapping if only because it's nice to hear again: Arkansas is headed to a run-off after a much closer vote than expected. Jack Conway is the nominee in Kentucky. Joe Sestak is the nominee in Pennsylvania. Sue...
PA-12 is a bellwether, unless the Democrat wins
We spent the last two weeks hearing how yesterday's House special election in PA-12 -- the only district won by Kerry that McCain won -- would be indicative of November's elections. Here was über-wanker Howard Fineman, on Chris Matthews' show:
MATTHEWS: If they beat a local guy in a Democrat meat-and-potatoes district, isn`t...
