Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: FEC says Vern Buchanan ‘more likely than not’ violated the law
Polling and Political Wrap, 10/13/10
With The Hill, CNN, and the House of Ras all making considerable contributions, today's edition of the Wrap is more data-heavy than the average. The final poll count sits at 49 polls including a faintly absurd triad of polls in Delaware's Senate race (hint to America's media outlets--it ain't close, and it ain't gonna be...
Gallup’s doomsday scenario contradicts recent history
Gallup looks into their crystal ball, and they see nothing but pain for Democrats:
Our latest measure for the week of Sept. 20-26 shows Republicans with a 20-percentage-point lead over Democrats in terms of the percentage of voters who are “very” enthusiastic about voting. Additionally, preliminary modeling of the likely electorate using...
Polling and political wrap-up, 5/31/10-6/1/10
And with that, five months in the wonderful year that has been 2010 are done. Time may not be flying, but it sure is hauling ass...
Given the paucity of news over the holiday weekend, this is a pretty spartan edition of the Wrap, as you might expect.
However, to kick it off,...
Orange to Blue: Don’t Forget the House
This has been a damn fine week for progressive Democrats. You've heard it all before, but it bears recapping if only because it's nice to hear again: Arkansas is headed to a run-off after a much closer vote than expected. Jack Conway is the nominee in Kentucky. Joe Sestak is the nominee in Pennsylvania. Sue...
PA-12 is a bellwether, unless the Democrat wins
We spent the last two weeks hearing how yesterday's House special election in PA-12 -- the only district won by Kerry that McCain won -- would be indicative of November's elections. Here was über-wanker Howard Fineman, on Chris Matthews' show:
MATTHEWS: If they beat a local guy in a Democrat meat-and-potatoes district, isn`t...
PA-12: Critz (D) wins
The Republican Tim Burns has conceded.
Democrat Mark Critz is an asshole Dem, and will be among the worst of the Blue Dogs. So why is it good that he won?
Because this was seen as a must-win for both parties. The (bullshit) CW was that if Critz lost, the Dems would lose...
PA, KY, AR election results #5
I've nuked the burrito, will try to eat it soon.
Latest numbers:
Kentucky: 99.2 percent in, Conway 44.1, Mongiardo 43.0.
Pennsylvania: 64.5 percent in, Sestak 52.7, Specter 47.3.
Arkansas: 11.9 percent in, Lincoln 48.1, Halter 38.9, Morrison 13.0.
PA-12: 39 percent in, Critz (D) 54, Burns (R) 43...
PA, KY, AR election results #4
I lied! Still no burrito for me. Big news happened in the last minute.
First of all:
PA-12: with 22 percent reporting, Democrat Critz leads the GOPer Burns 57-40. Five of the six counties that have reported anything are showing big numbers for Critz. Of the other four, three are tiny, including Armstrong...
PA, KY, AR election results #3
Election results: Arkansas, Kentucky, Pennsylvania, and PA-12.
Latest numbers:
Kentucky: 89.0 percent in, Conway 44.8, Mongiardo 42.8.
Pennsylvania: 27.8 percent in, Specter 50.7, Sestak 49.3.
Arkansas: 1 percent in, Lincoln 47.6, Halter 40.1, Morrison 12.3.
PA-12: 5.5 percent in, Critz (D) 60, Burns (R)...
PA, KY, AR election results #2
Election results:
Arkansas: here.
Kentucky: here.
Pennsylvania: here.
House special in PA-12: here.
Thanks for joining us, everyone! Pretty exciting stuff tonight. The latest:
Kentucky: 83.4 percent in, Conway 45.3, Mongiardo 42.3.
Pennsylvania: 9.9 percent in, Specter 54.3, Sestak 45.7.
Arkansas: 0.5 percent...
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