Jon Ossoff continues to build steam in Georgia

The run-off election in Georgia’s 6th Congressional District is going to be tight—an every-vote-matters situation. On the one hand you have high Democratic enthusiasm and an appealing candidate, while on the other hand you have a strongly Republican district. But Jon Ossoff and Democrats have just gotten two pieces of good news, about where the race stands right now and about how they can organize over the next two weeks.

A new poll from Gerstein Bocian Agne (a Democratic pollster) shows Ossoff strong on two fronts. First, he leads Karen Handel 50 to 48. Second, Ossoff’s supporters are more enthusiastic: “1-in-5 Handel voters are less certain about their support for her” and may be less likely to turn out and vote. And while the House’s Trumpcare vote—and Handel’s support for it—may help motivate the intense Republican base, it’s not likely to help with independents and even some less extremist Republican voters.

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Democrats are enthusiastic about voting in 2018. Republicans, not so much.

We’ve seen it in two special elections in deep red districts, and now Public Policy Polling finds it nationally: Democrats are a lot more excited about voting than Republicans.

Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot 47-41. But what’s more notable is the enthusiasm imbalance. 63% of Democrats say they’re ‘very excited’ about voting in the 2018 election, compared to only 52% of Republicans who express that sentiment. When you look at the 2018 House picture just among the voters most excited about turning out next year, the lead for Democrats grows to 19 points at 57-38. Republican leaning voters are comparatively disengaged, with the GOP holding advantages only among voters who are ‘somewhat excited’ (48-40) and ‘not that excited’ (46-31).

Of course, there’s a long time between now and November 2018, and a lot could change. But one of the key factors is unlikely to suddenly start benefiting Republicans:

One

Continue reading “Democrats are enthusiastic about voting in 2018. Republicans, not so much.”

Democrats are enthusiastic about voting in 2018. Republicans, not so much.

We’ve seen it in two special elections in deep red districts, and now Public Policy Polling finds it nationally: Democrats are a lot more excited about voting than Republicans.

Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot 47-41. But what’s more notable is the enthusiasm imbalance. 63% of Democrats say they’re ‘very excited’ about voting in the 2018 election, compared to only 52% of Republicans who express that sentiment. When you look at the 2018 House picture just among the voters most excited about turning out next year, the lead for Democrats grows to 19 points at 57-38. Republican leaning voters are comparatively disengaged, with the GOP holding advantages only among voters who are ‘somewhat excited’ (48-40) and ‘not that excited’ (46-31).

Of course, there’s a long time between now and November 2018, and a lot could change. But one of the key factors is unlikely to suddenly start benefiting Republicans:

One

Continue reading “Democrats are enthusiastic about voting in 2018. Republicans, not so much.”

Morning Digest: Trump-loving Sheriff David Clarke may draw a challenger who could end his career

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Milwaukee County, WI Sheriff: This would be awesome: Former Milwaukee Police Captain Earnell Lucas will challenge notorious Milwaukee County Sheriff David Clarke in next year’s Democratic primary, according to a consultant working for Lucas. Clarke, a vociferous Trump supporter and incendiary critic of the Black Lives Matter movement, is the living embodiment of the term “Democrat-in-name-only”; those who know him from the headlines he makes are often shocked to learn he isn’t a Republican.

But that makes his re-election prospects worse than dicey: A PPP poll conducted earlier this year found that just 13 percent of Democratic voters in Milwaukee County said they’d support Clarke, while 82 preferred “someone else.” And now it looks like those folks will indeed have a someone else to vote for. Lucas is a 25-year police veteran and has worked for the last 15 years in Major League Baseball,

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Morning Digest: The Club for Growth goes after Karen Handel in Georgia special election

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GA-06: The anti-tax extremist group Club for Growth recently backed businessman Bob Gray in the April 18 primary for the special election to replace HHS Secretary Tom Price, and now the Club’s backing their play with a new $250,000 TV ad buy that turns its sights on Karen Handel. They attack the former Republican secretary of state over her spending record while in office, making this the first time anyone has directly run ads against her in this race. A recent independent poll found Handel leading Gray 20 to 10 for the second spot in the runoff, so the Club has work to do to drag Handel down.

For her part, Handel recently rolled out the endorsement of former Sen. Saxby Chambliss, whom Handel unsuccessfully tried to succeed in the 2014 GOP Senate primary. Meanwhile, current Sen. David Perdue, who ultimately prevailed in that election, is

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No wonder Republicans are in a hurry: Support for Trumpcare is dropping

Republicans are trying to get Trumpcare passed as quickly as ever they can, and there’s a reason for that: they need to get it done before voters really process just what this bill will do to the American healthcare system. Support is already dropping:

Voters are divided on the measure: Approval of the bill declined from 46 percent last week to 41 percent in the new poll, conducted last Thursday through Sunday. Disapproval, meanwhile, ticked up marginally, from 35 percent last week to 38 percent in the new survey. More voters, 22 percent, strongly disapprove of the bill than the 17 percent who strongly approve of it. […]

Republicans continue to support to bill: 62 percent of GOP voters approve of the bill, while only 18 percent disapprove. And while Democratic opposition — 57 percent disapprove — lags Republicans’ backing, more Democrats strongly disapprove of the law, 40 percent,

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After only two months in office, Trump falls to new approval rating low of 37 percent

Have fun with that, buddy.

President Trump’s job approval rating has dropped to a new low of 37 percent, according to the latest Gallup tracking poll.

Only 37 percent of respondents approve of the job the president is doing, compared to 58 percent who disapprove.

Apparently America is indeed getting tired of all the “winning.”

Oh, and we’re still in the first 100 days.